재무 분석가의 경험, 가용자원, 예측특성이 예측정확성에 영향을 미치는가?

Do Analysts’ Experience, Resources, and Forecast Characteristics Affect Forecast Accuracy? Korean Evidence

초록

This paper assesses the impact of financial analysts’ characteristics on their earnings forecast accuracy in Korea. We find that forecasting experience, resources available to analysts, forecast frequency, and forecast horizon affect forecast accuracy. These results are generally consistent with U.S. findings. However, Regulation Fair Disclosure is not as effective in Korea as in the U.S. in leveling the playing field for analysts and bold forecasts are not more accurate than herding forecasts in Korea, suggesting that the analyst forecast market and the incentives of financial analysts in Korea differ from those of the U.S. Investors may utilize the findings of this paper to identify more accurate earnings forecasters in Korea.

키워드

Forecast AccuracyEarningsForecasting ExperienceRegulation Fair DisclosureBold Forecasts예측 정확성이익예측경험공정 공시혁신적 예측
제목
재무 분석가의 경험, 가용자원, 예측특성이 예측정확성에 영향을 미치는가?
제목 (타언어)
Do Analysts’ Experience, Resources, and Forecast Characteristics Affect Forecast Accuracy? Korean Evidence
저자
정석우배진한박성화
발행일
2013
저널명
금융지식연구
11
2
페이지
67 ~ 109