CROSS-CORRELATIONS BETWEEN BACTERIAL FOODBORNE DISEASES AND METEOROLOGICAL FACTORS BASED ON MF-DCCA: A CASE IN SOUTH KOREA

초록

In this study, we apply multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DCCA) to examine the nonlinear cross-correlations between bacterial foodborne diseases (FBDs) and meteorological factors in South Korea. The results demonstrate that power-law cross-correlations between bacterial FBD and meteorological factors exist; and that multifractal characteristics are significant. In addition, the cross-correlation between bacterial FBD and temperature is more persistent than that between bacterial FBD and humidity. Comparison of the strengths of multifractal spectra showed that the degree of multifractality of the Humidity/FBD time series pair is greater than that of Temperature/FBD pair; this indicates that the monthly number of outpatient FBD cases is more sensitive to humidity. Furthermore, to document the major source of multifractality, we shuffle the original series. We conclude that both the long-range correlations and fat-tail distribution contribute to the multifractality of the Temperature/FBD time series pair. The long-range correlations are also an important source that contributes to the multifractality between bacterial FBD and humidity time series.

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