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시점 간 순사육두수 변화를 고려한 한우의 사육두수 전망 모형 분석Forecasting Model for Hanwoo Considering the Change in the Net Number of Breeding Cattle

Other Titles
Forecasting Model for Hanwoo Considering the Change in the Net Number of Breeding Cattle
Authors
임희선교일양강전상강민성안병일
Issue Date
2022
Publisher
한국농식품정책학회
Keywords
Forecasting Model; Breeding Heads; Decision Making
Citation
농업경영.정책연구, v.49, no.2, pp.354 - 372
Indexed
KCI
Journal Title
농업경영.정책연구
Volume
49
Number
2
Start Page
354
End Page
372
URI
https://scholar.korea.ac.kr/handle/2021.sw.korea/143162
ISSN
1229-9154
Abstract
Decision-making on the number of slaughtered heads considering the change in the number of breeding heads is an important issue for Hanwoo-breeding farmers. While previous studies treat breeding heads of Hanwoo in terms of supply function, this study differs in the way that it develops a model for breeding heads that incorporate both supply and demand sides. The number of cattle raised is forecasted using the estimates of slaughtered heads, the estimates of breeding cattle under one year of age, and the actual number of breeding cattle in the previous period. The result of the precision of the model for estimating the number of cattle raised indicates that the accuracy of the model is very high.
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Ahn, Byeong il
생명과학대학 (식품자원경제학과)
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