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Family Formation and Dissolution During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence From South Korea

Authors
Kim, JinhoKim, Taehoon
Issue Date
2-1월-2021
Publisher
ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
Keywords
COVID-19; marriage; divorce; social disruption; fertility; South Korea
Citation
GLOBAL ECONOMIC REVIEW, v.50, no.1, pp.1 - 19
Indexed
SSCI
SCOPUS
KCI
OTHER
Journal Title
GLOBAL ECONOMIC REVIEW
Volume
50
Number
1
Start Page
1
End Page
19
URI
https://scholar.korea.ac.kr/handle/2021.sw.korea/50158
DOI
10.1080/1226508X.2021.1874466
ISSN
1226-508X
Abstract
This study explores the short-term effects of COVID-19 on marriage and divorce rates in Korea. We document a 9.6-13.9% reduction in the provincial crude marriage rate in March-June 2020 after the surge in COVID-19 cases. On top of this overall decline, a one-unit increase in the number of confirmed cases per 1,000 people in a given province decreased the marriage rate by 3.8-6.2%. The crude divorce rate decreases by 3.2-7.1% after the surge of COVID-19. Our results imply that the decline in marriage rates due to COVID-19 can lead to a significant decrease in fertility rates in the near future.
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